Double Chance Betting Explained: 1X, X2 and 12 Markets
Learn how double chance betting works, what 1X, X2 and 12 mean, how bets are settled, and why the broader coverage usually comes with lower odds.
Double chance betting lets you cover two of the three possible results in a football match: a home win, a draw or an away win. Instead of selecting one result, the bettor chooses a two-outcome combination such as home win or draw. This increases the number of results that can produce a winning bet, but the additional coverage is normally reflected in lower odds.
What does double chance mean in football betting?
In a standard match-result market, often labelled 1X2, the possible outcomes are:
- 1 — the home team wins.
- X — the match ends in a draw.
- 2 — the away team wins.
A double chance market combines two of these outcomes into one selection. The bet wins if either result in the selected pair occurs. It loses only when the one excluded result happens.
For example, a selection on home win or draw wins if the home team wins or the match is drawn. It loses if the away team wins. The market normally refers to the result after regulation time, including any stoppage time, unless the bookmaker states a different settlement rule. Extra time and penalties generally do not count in a standard football match market.
What do 1X, X2 and 12 mean?
1X: home win or draw
The 1X option covers two outcomes: a home victory and a draw. It excludes an away win. Bettors may consider this market when the home side is viewed as unlikely to lose, even if its chance of winning is not strong enough for a simple home-win selection.
X2: draw or away win
The X2 option covers a draw and an away victory. It loses only if the home team wins. This is sometimes described as backing the away team not to lose.
12: home win or away win
The 12 option covers either team winning and excludes the draw. It can suit a match where a decisive result is considered more likely than a stalemate, but it does not provide protection against a draw.
| Selection | Wins when | Loses when |
|---|---|---|
| 1X | Home win or draw | Away win |
| X2 | Draw or away win | Home win |
| 12 | Home win or away win | Draw |
How double chance bets are settled
Settlement depends on the final result and the bookmaker’s market rules. A 1X selection is a winning bet after a home win or draw, while an away victory settles it as a loss. There is usually no separate refund simply because one part of the combination did not occur; the selection is treated as one market covering two results.
Check the rules for postponed, abandoned and suspended matches. Bookmakers may have different minimum time requirements or rescheduling policies. Also confirm whether the market is labelled “90 minutes,” “match result” or something similar. That wording determines whether extra time or a penalty shootout is included.
Why double chance odds are usually lower
Covering two outcomes gives a bet more ways to win than backing a single match result. That broader coverage generally reduces the price. For example, if a bookmaker offers a relatively short price on 1X, the market is charging for protection against both the home loss and the draw.
Odds should not be compared only by their appearance. Decimal odds imply a probability before accounting for the bookmaker’s margin. A rough implied probability can be calculated as 1 divided by decimal odds. For instance, odds of 1.50 imply approximately 66.7% before considering the margin. This is not the same as the true probability of the event, because bookmaker prices include an overround and may reflect other trading factors.
The practical question is not simply whether a double chance bet is likely to win. The relevant question is whether its price is higher than the probability-adjusted assessment of the covered outcomes. A high probability of success does not automatically make a bet good value.
Double chance compared with other football markets
Double chance versus a single-result bet
A home-win selection has a higher payout potential than 1X when both are priced in the same match, but it loses on a draw. Double chance reduces that specific risk by including the draw. The trade-off is a lower return and no benefit from the extra outcome beyond the quoted odds.
Double chance versus draw no bet
Draw no bet covers one team and returns the stake if the match is drawn, subject to the bookmaker’s rules. Double chance covers two full outcomes and does not usually return the stake on the excluded result. For example, 1X wins on both a home win and a draw, whereas home draw no bet normally refunds on a draw and wins only when the home side wins.
Double chance versus covering bets separately
Placing separate bets on two outcomes is not automatically equivalent to one double chance bet. The two approaches can use different odds, stakes and settlement calculations. A double chance market provides one quoted price for the combined event, while separate bets require the bettor to decide how much to stake on each outcome.
Common mistakes and limitations
- Assuming “double” means double winnings: the term refers to two covered results, not a doubled payout.
- Ignoring the draw in 12: a 12 selection loses if the match is level after the settlement period.
- Confusing 1X with home win: 1X remains successful after a draw, while a home-win bet does not.
- Overlooking match-time rules: standard markets often exclude extra time and penalties.
- Focusing only on winning frequency: frequent wins can still produce poor results if the odds are too short relative to the risk.
- Treating team reputation as proof: injuries, rotation, schedule congestion, competition rules and home advantage can affect the underlying probability.
Double chance also cannot remove all uncertainty. A strong favourite can still lose, and a team that rarely draws may make 1X or X2 less useful than it first appears if the single excluded result remains plausible. Historical form is only one input; current line-ups, tactical matchups and market price also matter.
How to assess a double chance selection
Start by identifying the one result that would make the selection lose. For 1X, that is an away win; for X2, it is a home win; for 12, it is a draw. Then assess whether that excluded result is less likely than the price suggests.
Compare the double chance price with relevant alternatives, including the three-way result and draw no bet market. Differences in odds may reveal how much the bookmaker is charging for the additional protection. Use consistent stakes, avoid combining selections merely to increase a payout, and decide on a budget before betting. Gambling should be treated as paid entertainment rather than a reliable source of income.